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Natural gas price drops in Europe thanks to favorable weather forecasts

19 October 2021

Natural gas reference prices in Europe fell on Tuesday, thanks to forecasts showing favorable weather conditions and wind intensifications, which would help the European energy system, which has been facing a tense situation lately, Bloomberg reports.

The warm weather from the beginning of the winter heating season will help reduce the impact of reduced natural gas supplies from Russia and the redirection of liquefied gas supplies to Asia. In addition, wind turbines in the UK and Germany are expected to produce record amounts of electricity.

Under these conditions, on the Dutch stock exchange the natural gas futures quotations decreased by 3.7% on Tuesday to 90.49 euros for a MWh while in the United Kingdom the quotations decreased by 8%. Coal futures and electricity prices in Germany, Europe’s largest market, also fell, according to Agerpres.

“Starting in November, with each month in which temperatures will be above normal, the global gas balance will calm down, which will eliminate much of the recent rise in gas and oil prices,” JP Morgan Chase analysts say.

According to forecasts made by The Weather Co., temperatures in North-West Europe would be above the seasonal average by Thursday and also above, or close to, the normal level by the end of November.

Separately, Bloomberg analysts forecast that on Thursday the energy production of wind turbines in Germany will exceed 52 GW and in the case of wind farms from Great Britain, it will exceed 17 GW.

Autor: Energynomics


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